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Aviation Watch

Aviation Watch -- formerly Aviation Watch or AvWatch as a Yahoo Group is being re-organized. The blog is under construction but active at 

http://g.tinyurl.com/y2qecoz9

SMAAC is temporarily hosting the blog and the AviationWatch@YahooGroups.com e-mail version may be restored.

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MSP 2019 Capital Improvements Set

For 2011 through 2017 at MSP "improvement" projects were approved and facilities built at MSP without updating the need for and purposes of many airfield and terminal facilities changes.  Clues remain that passenger arrivals per hour are anticipated for two reasons: slightly larger aircraft and more flights arriving per hour (more than FAA currently considers safe, and more than can be accepted without accumulating aircraft at MSP).

MSP officials told SMAAC that, this year, a Draft Long-Range Comprehensive Plan Update and the Capital Improvments Plan as funded for 2020 and planned for 2021-26 will be reviewed by Met Council. Perhaps some internal agreemen tresolving the Converging Runway Operations safety order --maximum operations per hour in two flows, ground traffic and aircraft accumulation resulting from consecutive high-rate-hours in the same flow --has been reached with FAA and airlines.

A furteh complication for the MSP LTCP seems to be emerging: plans are based on forecasted passenger/flight "demand." No doubt, faults in the Boeing and FAA aircraft safety cetifications for the B-737 MAX 800, 900 revealed after the two disasters are a foreboding issue in polls about air travel plans.  A new forecasting method was introduced for capacity planning in about 2012, without considering economic demand in the Metro, or the local-connecting passenger ratio, or lower public confidence in safe air travel.

So there is a lot to consider, we hope openly.  It would be better if the MAC and Met Council insisted on openly planning flights with more attention to costs and public health and safety risks.  

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Metro Airports Analysis Consortium Idea Blooms

Airport groups offered and received help through Aviation Watch for many years. "Airport Noise" in various forms and places resulted in protests, lawsuits, and occasionally changes in airport management.  Over the years, airport noise was encapsulated by US DOT and FAA laws and rules (i.e. 14 CFR Part 150 and Part 161).  Airlines successfully lobbied to stuff all protests of overflights into these grinders until protestors were exhausted and disillusioned. 

In the social media age, anyone can put out a web site named "Quiet Skies" this or that and many have.  We have a problem in that the title funnels the actions into limited practices and Rules.  Even the Congressional Quiet Skies Caucus's boldest proposal 55 DNL and over mitigation under 14 CFR Part 150 would by no means result in noise or pollution reductions and mitigation can be evaded by noiser flights over more people using more overflight courses per day.

So, with help from other groups promised, we are taking two small steps toward a reduction in aviation noise and pollution per actual flight --by shortening the length and time of the average trip and reducing airport operations involved in the average trip.

Go to  https://smaacus-smaac.nationbuilder.com

1, We're oganizing a technical base for airport capacity plan protests called, for the moment, the Special Meto Airports Analysis Consortium (US) 

2. We are hosting the Aviation Watch blog.  

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MSP Long-Term Plan Remains Closeted

At the August 20, 2018 Metropolitan Airports Commission meeting, SMAAC delivered an Open Letter urging the Commission to make the purposes, costs and economic and emvironmental impacts of its 2010 to 2020 Captial Improvement Program (CIP) public, as required by Law and as related to the Met Council Transportation Policy Plan.

In particular, the long-delayed 2015 MSP LTCP Update veils the purposes and costs of capital improvements from the public, the Legislature and several State and Federal agencies.  Key planning factors remain unpublished, and many details need to be explained or revised.

The letter said "We are hopeful that the Draft LTCP Update will soon be published and that maximum hourly operations limited by the CRO and aggravated by the differences in hourly arrivals depending on “flow” will be included, and that realistic Next Gen and automated flight improvement plans and schedules are used for the CIP.

"The MSP LTCP and the Metropolitan Transportation Policy Plan (TPP) for 2010 to 2030 were approved after they were revised by the MAC to include noise and other environmental studies adjusted to the evolving new routes and ATC procedures" in the 2014 Draft MSP LTCP Update.

Is is sad that the media, the Governor and the Legislature accept the fact of $billions being spent at MSP for imporvements based on a 2014 draft that has since been hidden and apparently revised by the MAC alone. Long-term plan changes may or may not be needed for safe operations, may or may not increase noise expousre and almost certainly increase air pollution per flight.

What is the plan, and when will it become pubic?

 

 

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2018 Forum Report

The Online Forum has been modified.

SMAAC' s Survey and Candidate Answers drew attention to ongoing MSP plan-implementations and Federal actions.

The SMAAC Board and the Forum volunteers appreciate attention the DFL Nominee and practically the Representative-Elect, Ilhan Omar, gave to the Forum.  She seems to share our goal for MSP flight operations capacity: safe, sufficient, affordable and environmentally sound.  [The Republican Nominee was asked to participate but did not.]

At this time, and perhaps longer depending on US House elections go in other states, actions in pursuit of this goal in Washington will be helped or hindered by the terms of and appropriations for FAA in the Re-authorization bill, if passed.  It seems likely that less--than-clear aviation policy will prevail in the Re-authorization or a continuing resolution. 

 

SMAAC hopes that MSP and National Airspace System planning positions are debated in Statewide campaigns. We may extend the 2018 Forum and will publish on-line news about that! 

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2018 SMAAC Forum News

After a longer than expected design and survey phase, we were ready August 3rd for the 4 participating Candidates to post their "Opening Statements" and open the Forum to the public.  The Forum "went live" on Sunday. We issued a Public Announcement to 50 media outlets (TV, Radio, Newspapers and on-line publishers) and notified over 700 members and followers by email.

Margaret Anderson-Kelliher, Frank Drake, Ilhan Omar, and Patricia Torres-Ray submitted statements by email, and we asked for confirmation that the sender was delegated by the candidate.  The  Forum Website is 

https://20185thcdelectionforum-smaac.nationbuilder.com

After considering the candidates' statements and the public reactions for a week, a panel will rate the candidates as having GOOD, ACCEPTABLE or UNACCEPTABLE intentions to support efforts to modify the National Airspace System plans and policies as proposed by SMAAC and other citizens' groups and local government units.  

Simply stated the solution is to directly or indirectly realign routes and hubs to shorten city-hub-city trips and reduce congestion at major hubs.  Flight capacity was re-arranged following airline mergers in 2008 to 2012 and consolidation of connecting hubs.

The Federal Government has invested billions of dollars in Next Gen and related technologies, but the en route implementation creating more routes also created congestion and additional systems at many airports.  In Metoplexes and major hub cities, Next Gen is not likely to add hourly safe capacity --closer sep--arations, shorter intevals and affordable airport facilities and services --as was planned for economic growth prijections. The national airspace system is now in a completely different situation economically, environmentally and ecconomically.  This needs to be recognized.

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Meeting with the Governor

Sen. Dibble, Rep. Hornstein and SMAAC President Spensley met last Summer with Governor Dayton's staff aide in what we thought was a topic-setting session for a meeting with the Governor.  When President Spensley returned in May from wintering in Arizona, SMAAC again asked about the proposed meeting. 
Finally on Friday the 13th of July, this year, a different Senior Aide sent "Jim" a message asking about "his" date-and-time availability for a "meeting."  She copied the MAC Government Affairs guy, Mitch Killian. 
So I replied, first taking the request as about my availability as a priavte person: "The Governor is an important and busy person and I can meet with him any time any day with a few hours notice between now and December 15."
I added that if the requested meeting was finally being arranged, the Aide should "suggest a date and time so I could try to clear it with legislators in impacted districts or serving on transportation committees."
TOPICS
Safety risks and lack of transparency: MAC plans to increase hourly flights without knowing the max safe hourly use but hoping for relief from the CRO Order.  They are building facilities with that as a plan, but they are not publishing a forecast orm comprehensive Plan update.
Health and Safety: New routes and procedures for more arrivals per hour are costly for airlines (Delta for sure) and lead to higher O&D fares. Also, more noise exposure and more pollution per airport operation. Low altitude flights at MSP the past 3 years  were longer near MSP than in 2005 with fewer operations and newer aircraft. This produced more GHG,  from more fuel burned less cleanly, per beneficial passenger.  Despite an FAA/EPA Finding of a public health threat from these overflight emissions, MAC has not assessed the impact as significant.
So, we wanted to know if the Governor knew these facts. What do you suppose Mr. Kilian wants?
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Survey: MN5 Congress Candidates

Your vote in the DFL Primary Election for United States Representative in the Fifth Congressional District needs to be fully informed. We will be replacing a Representative who has worked with SMAAC and FAA to escalate unresolved safe capacity and schedule issues at MSP during Federal development and deployment of Next Gen and PRB/RNAV systems.

It is an uncompleted task.

The Forum is open at

https://tinyurl.com/yc6rtvek 

and if you are registered here you can log-in there. Ou ratings published before the Primary Election.

 

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